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Traders react to tentative US debt ceiling deal

admin by admin
May 28, 2023
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NEW YORK (Reuters) – U.S. President Joe Biden and high congressional Republican Kevin McCarthy have reached a tentative deal to boost the federal authorities’s $31.4 trillion debt ceiling, ending a months-long stalemate, two sources acquainted with the negotiations stated on Saturday.

However the deal nonetheless faces a tough path to cross by means of Congress earlier than the US runs out of cash to pay its money owed in early June.

COMMENTS:

THIERRY WIZMAN, GLOBAL FX AND INTEREST RATES STRATEGIST, MACQUARIE GROUP, NEW YORK

“There may be actually going to be a reduction within the mounted earnings markets. The place there have been essentially the most distortions from the uncertainty was within the credit score markets and within the Treasury invoice market… I believe on Tuesday, when the market reopens within the U.S., we must always see these two distortions mounted.

“However what this does not clear up, is that alongside the entire Treasury curve yields have gone up not too long ago. And I believe they went up in anticipation that there might be a whole lot of issuance of Treasury bonds and notes and payments within the subsequent few weeks as a result of the U.S. Treasury has to replenish its money. And so, I believe Treasury bond yields will keep excessive for some time that offer is absorbed.

“And I believe shares can do okay, right here. This was actually one overhang over the inventory market.

“So far as the greenback goes, I am inclined to assume that it might strengthen the greenback a bit of bit as a result of it is going to weaken the argument for de-dollarization. However not by a lot just a bit bit extra, as a result of the greenback has already strengthened in the previous couple of weeks fairly a bit.”

AMO SAHOTA, DIRECTOR, KLARITYFX, SAN FRANCISCO

“This might be fairly good for the market. I believe it is going to preserve the expectations nonetheless fairly crimson scorching with how the Nasdaq has been performing. Will probably be good for equities.

“I believe it might additionally give extra cause for the Fed to really feel assured about making an attempt to carry up charges once more. I believe the market may very well seize the chance to cost in a bit of bit extra tightening in June, in the event that they assume that each one else being equal, the financial system remains to be operating fairly scorching – we will see that. The carry up in tech sector particularly. Spending has been fairly sturdy as properly.

“I believe this simply holds the greenback up fairly properly as properly. I believe, usually, everyone ought to be fairly pleased with this, though we wish to see what the what the colour of the deal seems to be like. Initially, it seems to be like that is coming extra from cuts proper, which is de facto what the Republicans had been pushing for.

“And it’ll be necessary to see how lengthy the deal is for, whether or not … we will face these identical points once more. Or whether or not these issues are going additionally going to be resolved with a long-term deal. I very, very a lot doubt it is a long run deal.”

(Reporting by Laura Matthews; Compiled by the International Finance & Markets Breaking Information group; Modifying by Kim Coghill)



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