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JPMorgan Chase predicts 60% probability of recession regardless of Trump’s tariff freeze

admin by admin
April 10, 2025
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Traders cheered on Wednesday when President Donald Trump paused most of his new tariffs. Nonetheless, JPMorgan Chase says the celebration will probably be short-lived.

The most important financial institution within the U.S. issued a brand new report Wednesday night time, sticking with its forecast that there’s a 60 p.c probability the nation is heading right into a recession. The financial institution’s economists point out that the ten p.c common tariffs nonetheless in place pose a major shock to the financial system.

RELATED STORY | Shares surge on information of tariff delays, making up a lot of their latest losses

The common tariffs are along with the brand new 125% tariffs on Chinese language items. There additionally stays a common 25% tariff on metal and aluminum imports.

President Trump started imposing various tariffs on 84 international locations on Wednesday, however put a 90-day pause on gathering duties yesterday afternoon. The response helped the inventory market regain a number of the worth it misplaced over the prior week.

Earlier than President Trump’s introduced tariffs pause, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon advised Fox Enterprise the preliminary set of tariffs went past what was anticipated.

“However I do suppose fixing these tariff points and commerce points ought to be an excellent factor to do. That may get one main uncertainty behind us. We’ve got the strongest financial system on the earth. It could be good to not add to the uncertainty on the market,” he mentioned.

RELATED STORY | Tariff reversal: Trump broadcasts 90-day pause on ‘reciprocal’ duties





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